Science

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England”

Mike Halpert, Deputy Director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, says their forecast calls for above average temperatures and below average precipitation for both the Lower and Upper Peninsula. This change in sea surface temperature has a wide range of effects on seasonal weather patterns across the globe, but in the USA, an El Niño typically means warmer winter temperatures, and higher levels of precipitation in certain regions of the country.

Overall, however, the western half of the country experienced warmer-than-average temperatures while the eastern half received the colder air. Meteorologists predict theres a 75 percent chance itll be around this winter. Due to this, above-average temperatures look likely for the northern and western United States, Alaska and Hawaii.

While this upcoming winter isn't expected to be exactly the same as four years ago, this most recent forecast from the Climate Prediction Center certainly gives us a better idea, as well as extra time to prepare for what is likely to come between the months of December and February.

The El Nino hasn't quite formed yet, but it's nearly warm enough. The rest of Kansas has an equal chance for a wetter or drier than normal winter.

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Hubbard said the bay areas streak of record-breaking hot weather in October is not related to El Nino, but is instead caused by a combination of factors, such as dry high pressure in the area the past few weeks — which blocks rainfall — easterly winds and little sea breeze.

Strictly looking at El Niño, this winter is lining up most closely to the winter of 2014-2015.

Halpert said the southern one-third of the United States and much of the East Coast could be hunkering down for a wetter than normal December through January.

2018-19 Winter Outlook map for temperature. The WYMT Weather team will have their 2018-2019 Winter Outlook for Eastern Kentucky on Tuesday, November 20th. The warmest conditions were found in the Southwest. It ranked as the sixth-warmest winter on record, and everywhere, except the Pacific Northwest, was warmer than normal.

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How confident should you be in this outlook?

The outlook is also predicting it won't be an unusually wet winter for New England.

Much of the state has at least a 33 percent chance of a warmer than normal season, with areas nearer the northwest corner of Kansas having at least a 40 percent chance of a warmer season, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center said in a news release.

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